Citizens For Alternatives to Radioactive Dumping

ASSUMPTIONS
USED IN PA
REALITY
IMPLICATIONS
Only anhydrite (marker) beds "138, "'139, A & B will contribute to brine inflows to the repository in the undisturbed scenario. Salt contributes nil.
Subsidence fractures will connect the repository to many anhydrite beds above, draining them to the rooms.
Rates of brine inflow will be a magnitude greater than PA concludes. There will be earlier repository saturation, pressurization by gas generation, and pneumatic/hydraulic fracture extension upwards through the Salado.
No repository saturation by oil-field water flood operations nor hydrofractured connections will occur.
Oil wells surround the LWA, enhanced recovery requires water injection, casing leaks are inevitable, hydrofracture and distant brine travel to wells are demonstrated.
Repository flooding and pressurization can result from present oil-field stimulation practices, not just by inadvertent drilling to pressurized brine in the underlying Castile Formation.
Roof fractures through salt will eventually seal the DRZ. The Salado maintains integrity as a seal for the undisturbed repository.
Subsidence fractures will propagate to the Rustler, aided by pressure build-up in the repository, an unstable process.
The undisturbed scenario has uncertain consequences, including likely fluid continuity from the repository to the Rustler. PA errs in relegating future drilling to chance, and small probability to breach. Shafts and borehole seals will not be challenged because fractures are easier conduits.
Exploration boreholes that intersect the repository will be plugged or have blow-out preventers (BOP).
Drilling through an unconfined aquifer into salt does not call for BOP, so a hole may be open to the surface.
A saturated, pressurized repository may vent fluids directly to the surface. Fractures due to oil field stimulation or subsidence may cut old boreholes whose seals are bypassed in salt due to long-term axial seepage.
The Rustler waters flow southwards from WIPP to the Pecos River at Malaga Bend.
The current local gradient southwards off the LWA has been influenced by the testing of wells and the drainage to the shafts. After the water table has risen to its primitive levels, it will slope westerly, so the restored flow direction will be westerly.
PA calculates slow southerly flow in Culebra dolomite to Malaga Bend, with lower gradients (longer paths) through less pervious ground than would occur with westerly flow through more pervious ground W of the LWA. Laguna Grande will resume its role as the destination of most Rustler discharge.